Aslan Karatsev vs Filip Pieczonka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Over the past six months, Pieczonka has secured 51.43% of points on their second serve, compared to Karatsev’s 41.65%. Could this be a crucial factor in determining the outcome?
• When it comes to return games, Pieczonka has claimed 42.8% of their opponent's second serve points in recent form, while Karatsev excels with 50.25% in this category.
• Looking at first serve returns, Karatsev edges out Pieczonka, with 24.76% compared to 22.7%. Does this give Karatsev a slight edge?
• Under pressure, Karatsev shows resilience by saving 51.54% of breakpoints, whereas Pieczonka has saved 43.48%.
• In terms of match wins over the last year, Pieczonka has a winning rate of 62%, slightly superior to Karatsev’s 58.14%.
• Pieczonka performs best on indoor hard courts, achieving a win rate of 62%, whereas Karatsev shines on hard courts with a 63% win rate.
• Analyzing the level of play, Pieczonka mostly competes in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments with a 64.1% win rate. Karatsev plays in Challenger/ITF tournaments >$10K, boasting a 61.29% win rate.
• Opponent quality reveals Karatsev faces tougher competition, with an average opponent rank of 254.65, opposed to Pieczonka’s average opponent rank of 415.84.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Pieczonka has a 50% success rate, slightly outperforming Karatsev’s 45%.
• Breaking serve appears favorable to Karatsev, who has converted 32.91% of their break points, a distinct advantage over Pieczonka’s 17.95% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (August 4, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Pieczonka and Karatsev presents an intriguing contest, showcasing each player's distinctive strengths and weaknesses. Pieczonka's advantage on the second serve could lead to a strategic upper hand, while Karatsev’s proficiency in return games may nullify some of Pieczonka's service gains.

While Pieczonka has the edge in overall match win rates over the past year, Karatsev demonstrates greater resilience under breakpoint pressure. The surface may play a pivotal role, with Karatsev excelling notably more on hard courts compared to Pieczonka's strengths indoors.

Furthermore, although Pieczonka performs better in deciding sets, the overall quality of Karatsev’s opponents suggests he is accustomed to facing greater challenges. This experience, combined with better breakpoint conversion stats, provides Karatsev with a slight advantage.

Considering recent forms and performance patterns, Karatsev appears marginally more favorable to win the upcoming match against Pieczonka.